Well, Mike Huckabee isn’t backing away from his 1992 comments about homosexuality being a "sinful lifestyle" and that AIDS patients should be isolated. I thought this would have been spun and buried already, but it seems that the story has some legs. It’s clear now that Huckabee is going after the religious right, and I think his comments about AIDS in particular will cost him the support of moderate Republicans.
Therefore I’m withdrawing my earlier prediction that Huckabee would become our next president. In fact, a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll released Tuesday shows he would lose to all three leading Democratic candidates by double digits in hypothetical contests. So while I’m not sure that he will become the Republican candidate, I’m kind of hoping he will be because it appears he’s beatable.
The poll also confirms what I said the other day: John Edwards is our best bet to win against a Republican.
On the Democratic side, Edwards performs best against each of the leading Republicans. In addition to beating Huckabee by 25 percent and McCain by 8 percent, the North Carolina Democrat beats Romney by 22 percentage points (59 percent to 37 percent).
What really surprised me is how well John McCain did in polling.
The poll also shows that Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona would do best against leading Democrats. He beats Clinton by 2 percentage points (50 percent to 48 percent), ties Obama (48 percent to 48 percent) and loses to Edwards by a smaller margin (8 points) than the other Republican candidates do.
I thought he had more or less fizzled out, but now I’m left wondering if there might be some sort of McCain resurgence during the primaries. All I know is that if I was a McCain supporter (which I’m not), I would want to know who he plans to choose as his running mate before voting for him in the primaries. I’m not an ageist, but in a position as important as our President, I think you have to consider that McCain would be the oldest President ever elected.
Before every one starts leaving me comments about how you can’t trust polls, I want to stress that I know and agree with that sentiment. You can see trends in polls however, and this is at least the fourth poll I’ve seen showing Edwards doing best against Republicans. We have to take that into account.
I’ve always liked John Edwards; it’s just that in this election there are a couple of candidates I thought I liked better (Kucinich, Biden). I think though that I’m ready to throw my support behind Edwards exclusively. Sure, in a perfect world we could vote for whatever candidate we wanted with no ramifications, but I’m afraid that supporting a different candidate will allow Hillary to slip in, and I don’t think she can win.
As Democrats, I think it’s time that we get real about this. If we really want to take back the White House, then we need to start getting smart.
And I think that starts with John Edwards.